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UFC 335

Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes

Date
Saturday, December 12, 2026
Start
9:00 PM EST
Venue
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas United States
Bouts
5

Main Card

LightweightLean

How it ends

Oliveira

KO/TKO7%
Submission24%
Decision25%

Lopes

KO/TKO24%
Submission11%
Decision8%

Goes the distance: 33%

What drives the number

  • Elo rating (1850 vs 1690) favors Oliveira
  • Age (37 vs 31) favors Lopes
  • Grappling matchup (+1.0 takedown/sub threat per 15 min) favors Oliveira
  • Durability (9 vs 0 stoppage losses) favors Lopes
  • Reach (74" vs 72.5") favors Oliveira

Tale of the tape

37Age31
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach72.5"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
1850Elo1690
3.23Strikes landed / min3.79
3.05Strikes absorbed / min4.65
49%Striking defense47%
2.29Takedowns / 15 min0.82
55%Takedown defense69%
HeavyweightLean

How it ends

Pereira

KO/TKO33%
Submission1%
Decision9%

Pavlovich

KO/TKO43%
Submission2%
Decision12%

Goes the distance: 21%

What drives the number

  • Age (38 vs 34) favors Pavlovich
  • Elo rating (1768 vs 1723) favors Pereira
  • Reach (79" vs 84") favors Pavlovich
  • Recent form (L-W-L vs W-W-W) favors Pavlovich
  • Striking matchup (+0.2 sig. strikes/min projected) favors Pereira

Tale of the tape

38Age34
6'4"Height6'3"
79"Reach84"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
1768Elo1723
5.01Strikes landed / min4.49
3.72Strikes absorbed / min3.58
53%Striking defense56%
0.11Takedowns / 15 min0.47
80%Takedown defense75%
FlyweightSolid

How it ends

Moreno

KO/TKO11%
Submission13%
Decision43%

Johnson

KO/TKO6%
Submission2%
Decision24%

Goes the distance: 68%

What drives the number

  • Elo rating (1678 vs 1577) favors Moreno
  • Age (32 vs 35) favors Moreno
  • Striking matchup (-0.3 sig. strikes/min projected) favors Johnson
  • Grappling matchup (+0.3 takedown/sub threat per 15 min) favors Moreno
  • Durability (1 vs 2 stoppage losses) favors Moreno

Tale of the tape

32Age35
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
OrthodoxStanceSwitch
1678Elo1577
3.86Strikes landed / min4.60
3.69Strikes absorbed / min3.93
60%Striking defense56%
1.39Takedowns / 15 min0.44
67%Takedown defense67%
Light HeavyweightStrong

How it ends

Pasley

KO/TKO35%
Submission23%
Decision17%

Tafa

KO/TKO15%
Submission3%
Decision7%

Goes the distance: 24%

What drives the number

  • Elo rating (1560 vs 1438) favors Pasley
  • Striking matchup (+1.6 sig. strikes/min projected) favors Pasley
  • Durability (0 vs 5 stoppage losses) favors Pasley
  • Reach (78" vs 75") favors Pasley
  • Age (24 vs 29) favors Pasley

Tale of the tape

24Age29
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach75"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
1560Elo1438
5.98Strikes landed / min3.53
2.99Strikes absorbed / min2.70
39%Striking defense52%
3.20Takedowns / 15 min0.00
100%Takedown defense73%
MiddleweightCoin flip

How it ends

Pyfer

KO/TKO30%
Submission8%
Decision8%

Nickal

KO/TKO25%
Submission16%
Decision14%

Goes the distance: 22%

What drives the number

  • Grappling matchup (-1.8 takedown/sub threat per 15 min) favors Nickal
  • Elo rating (1713 vs 1703) favors Pyfer
  • Reach (75" vs 76") favors Nickal
  • Striking matchup (-0.4 sig. strikes/min projected) favors Nickal
  • Time since last fight (9 mo vs 6 mo) favors Nickal

Tale of the tape

30Age30
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach76"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
1713Elo1703
3.52Strikes landed / min3.36
3.22Strikes absorbed / min1.93
53%Striking defense60%
1.45Takedowns / 15 min3.12
63%Takedown defense100%