Upcoming · In 12 weeks

UFC 336

Joshua Van vs Manel Kape

Date
Saturday, January 30, 2027
Start
9:00 PM EST
Venue
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto Canada
Bouts
2

Main Card

Flyweight · Title fightSolid
Joshua Van
Van18-2-0Champion
68%32%

How it ends

Van

KO/TKO12%
Submission2%
Decision54%

Kape

KO/TKO24%
Submission1%
Decision7%

Goes the distance: 61%

What drives the number

  • Elo rating (1788 vs 1695) favors Van
  • Striking matchup (+3.4 sig. strikes/min projected) favors Van
  • Age (25 vs 32) favors Van
  • Reach (65" vs 68") favors Kape
  • Time since last fight (4 mo vs 7 mo) favors Van

Tale of the tape

25Age32
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach68"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
1788Elo1695
8.26Strikes landed / min4.68
5.83Strikes absorbed / min3.88
57%Striking defense57%
0.70Takedowns / 15 min0.36
75%Takedown defense79%
Interim Welterweight · Title fightCoin flip

How it ends

Prates

KO/TKO36%
Submission3%
Decision7%

Morales

KO/TKO24%
Submission3%
Decision28%

Goes the distance: 35%

What drives the number

  • Age (33 vs 27) favors Morales
  • Striking matchup (-2.1 sig. strikes/min projected) favors Morales
  • Elo rating (1785 vs 1753) favors Prates
  • Time since last fight (9 mo vs 14 mo) favors Prates
  • Reach (78" vs 79") favors Morales

Tale of the tape

33Age27
6'1"Height6'0"
78"Reach79"
SwitchStanceOrthodox
1785Elo1781
4.41Strikes landed / min5.68
4.30Strikes absorbed / min3.26
48%Striking defense54%
0.18Takedowns / 15 min1.04
78%Takedown defense90%