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UFC Fight Night: Salkilld vs Saint Denis

Quillan Salkilld vs Benoît Saint Denis

Date
Saturday, February 6, 2027
Start
5:00 PM EST
Venue
Afterpay Arena, Sydney Olympic Park Australia
Bouts
4

Main Card

LightweightLean

How it ends

Salkilld

KO/TKO29%
Submission17%
Decision16%

Denis

KO/TKO19%
Submission14%
Decision5%

Goes the distance: 21%

What drives the number

  • Elo rating (1744 vs 1687) favors Salkilld
  • Reach (75" vs 73") favors Salkilld
  • Grappling matchup (+0.8 takedown/sub threat per 15 min) favors Salkilld
  • Age (26 vs 30) favors Salkilld
  • Durability (0 vs 3 stoppage losses) favors Salkilld

Tale of the tape

26Age30
6'0"Height5'11"
75"Reach73"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
1744Elo1687
4.73Strikes landed / min5.58
2.79Strikes absorbed / min4.09
46%Striking defense42%
6.86Takedowns / 15 min4.15
81%Takedown defense72%
Light HeavyweightLean

How it ends

Guskov

KO/TKO22%
Submission6%
Decision8%

Whittaker

KO/TKO32%
Submission4%
Decision28%

Goes the distance: 36%

What drives the number

  • Elo rating (1593 vs 1738) favors Whittaker
  • Age (33 vs 35) favors Guskov
  • Striking matchup (-1.4 sig. strikes/min projected) favors Whittaker
  • Reach (76" vs 73.5") favors Guskov
  • Grappling matchup (-0.4 takedown/sub threat per 15 min) favors Whittaker

Tale of the tape

33Age35
6'3"Height6'0"
76"Reach73.5"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
1593Elo1738
3.87Strikes landed / min4.41
3.40Strikes absorbed / min3.40
50%Striking defense59%
0.00Takedowns / 15 min0.71
50%Takedown defense80%
FeatherweightSolid

How it ends

Rahiki

KO/TKO48%
Submission5%
Decision18%

Yoo

KO/TKO11%
Submission4%
Decision14%

Goes the distance: 32%

What drives the number

  • Elo rating (1590 vs 1497) favors Rahiki
  • Striking matchup (+3.4 sig. strikes/min projected) favors Rahiki
  • Age (24 vs 32) favors Rahiki
  • Durability (0 vs 1 stoppage losses) favors Rahiki
  • Reach (72" vs 71.5") favors Rahiki

Tale of the tape

24Age32
5'8"Height5'7"
72"Reach71.5"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
1590Elo1497
6.69Strikes landed / min3.99
5.91Strikes absorbed / min4.76
60%Striking defense53%
0.43Takedowns / 15 min0.72
38%Takedown defense67%
FeatherweightStrong

How it ends

Ofli

KO/TKO2%
Submission5%
Decision13%

Brito

KO/TKO39%
Submission16%
Decision25%

Goes the distance: 38%

What drives the number

  • Elo rating (1539 vs 1698) favors Brito
  • Grappling matchup (-3.3 takedown/sub threat per 15 min) favors Brito
  • Reach (66" vs 72") favors Brito
  • Age (33 vs 31) favors Brito
  • Striking matchup (+0.7 sig. strikes/min projected) favors Ofli

Tale of the tape

33Age31
5'7"Height5'8"
66"Reach72"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
1539Elo1698
2.49Strikes landed / min2.53
3.17Strikes absorbed / min2.31
57%Striking defense44%
0.34Takedowns / 15 min3.16
0%Takedown defense58%